Wednesday 28 November 2012

Weekly Gold trade wisdom 29 Nov 2012

There is an appreciable up move in gold both on weekly and monthly basis. RSI also hovering around 63 after touching 81. You must have exited December contract around 32400 on Monday as advised earlier. You may now enter the trade by picking Feb 2013 contract at around 32200-300 and stay invested through out the 2012 and early 2013.
Happy investing....
A Bull always in bullion,

Saturday 17 November 2012

Weekly gold trade wisdom 19 Nov 2012

On weekly close there is hardly any change from previous week. On monthly basis, there is only 1% up move, so I would suggest for staying invested in December contract for a target of 32300 - 32450 and think of re entering the trade in Feb 2013 contract two three day thence at around 32100-32300.
Happy Bullying...

Friday 16 November 2012

Equity or Gold???

Equity or Gold, the debate as to which is a better investment option, amongst the two, is unending.

If one were to analyse the returns generated by these two asset classes over the past five years, those of the yellow metal clearly outshine gains made by Nifty by hefty margins. In absolute terms, the prices of the yellow metal have risen almost 200% from Jan 2008 till date while Nifty has generated -8% during this period.

As 2008 was one of the worst years for the equity markets  that were crushed under the impact of the financial crisis, one may very well consider the period starting from the recovery year of 2009 till date as the period to assess the performance of these two asset classes. But here again, with over 136% absolute gains, gold has outperformed the Nifty returns of over 90% during this period.

However, this trend, despite being in favour of gold, does not construe that yellow metal is a better asset class than equities at all times.

In the current calendar year, 2012, for instance, Nifty's 22% returns from January till date are better than 17% gains clocked in by the yellow metal. Similarly, for the calendar year 2009 alone, which marked a fantastic recovery for equity markets, Nifty, with 75% returns had outpaced 24% returns generated by gold.

Thus, while gold should and will undoubtedly remain one of the most preferred asset classes for investment, it would be imprudent to completely ignore equities from one's portfolio. Equity markets, which have lagged for quite some time, will in fact be equally quick to turnaround with the first visible signs of recovery in the global economy, whenever that happens.

A prudent investor will thus do well to allocate savings to both gold as well as equity to maximise gains from investments.

Gold trade wisdom

Last week saw a rise of 1145 on weekly basis and 361 on monthly basis on December contract.
Dollar is rising against Yen thereby we may see lesser prices in dollar terms but due to equal depreciation in rupee, rupee rate of gold may be somewhat static. Gold play is becoming a game of currency only. So we would suggest to cling on the trade.
A price of 32300 may be a good exit point on December contract for keen traders but investors may be looking for roll over to Feb 13 contract at the similar prices two or three days after the exit from Dec 12 contract.
Happy bullying...